Thursday, September 11, 2008
News Poll: Obama's Georgia odds dwindle
Posted by Thomas Wheatley @thomaswheatley on Thu, Sep 11, 2008 at 2:24 PM
Barack Obama's chances in Georgia aren't as strong as once thought, according to a new survey from InsiderAdvantage.
When asked who they would vote for if the election were held today, more than 56 percent of 506 registered likely voters said John McCain. Obama trailed with 38 percent. (Bob Barr, the Libertarian Party candidate who's been considered a possible vote-stealer from McCain, was not included as a choice in the survey.)
Says InsiderAdvantage's Matt Towery:
“This is a huge slide from what had been, in our prior surveys, a relatively close race. The reason is simple—Obama lost serious ground in virtually every demographic.“At first glance it would seem that Obama is headed for no better than the low 40 percentile level achieved by John Kerry in 2004. But let me warn observers that in both our national tracking and surveys in other states, the biggest change has been a near parity between the two candidates among the youngest of voters.
“Should that group return to Obama and the African-American vote end up where we expect it to be, the race could be closer in November. But as of now Georgia is no longer a “leans McCain” state. As of this survey, Georgia is in the McCain column.”
Comments (3)
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The pollsters forgot to include the surge in newly registered minority voters that Karen says are non existent. Georgia is going to be in for a surprise, and a bunch of wild hogs are going to be wearing cherry blossom colored lipstick on November 5th. -you read it here first...
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