Monday, November 17, 2008

Cotton and Obama

Posted by Andisheh Nouraee on Mon, Nov 17, 2008 at 7:30 PM

The blog Strange Maps lays a map of southern cotton production in 1860 atop a map of county-level Presidential election results from November 4:

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Sadly, not so strange, that mirrors the area known as the black belt... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Belt_(U.S._region)

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Posted by Mark T on November 17, 2008 at 3:06 PM

I would love to see a similar overlay, but with education level. I wonder what that one would look like.

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Posted by DaleC on November 17, 2008 at 3:11 PM

Dale- I haven't seen a map, yet, but here's an excerpt from a Washington Post piece on some exit-polling: "But Obama nearly tied with McCain among white voters who had some college education, a group Bush won in 2004 by 11 points. This suggested acceleration of a trend that has been underway for at least a decade, as more and more college-educated white suburban professionals have been moving toward the Democrats. This improved showing by Obama was particularly relevant in Virginia and Colorado, the only two of the 10 states in the country with the highest rates of college education that Kerry lost. Obama's strong performance with college-educated whites helped explain how he was able to build a lead despite faring relatively poorly among white voters without a college education. He lost this group by 18 points -- a small improvement over Kerry's performance. But the group's share of the electorate dropped by four points and he was able to hold his losses with the group to a manageable level. Some of the credit may belong to union voters in states such as Ohio and Pennsylvania, where Democrats had worried about his prospects. Union members voted for Obama at the same rate as they had for Kerry, about 60 percent." http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/04/AR2008110404088.html?nav=rss_politics

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Posted by Andisheh_Nouraee on November 17, 2008 at 4:19 PM

"some college education" is a key phrase. Given the huge numbers of young people who voted, I would expect this to happen. I bet it will be a declining trend in the next few election cycles.

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Posted by DaleC on November 17, 2008 at 5:58 PM

How about an overlay of those states with the highest standards of living - oh wait, that's right, they all voted Democratic too.

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Posted by atlpaddy on November 17, 2008 at 10:16 PM
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