The Academy Award nominations will be announced just after 8:30 a.m. tomorrow morning. So far, wins seem practically guaranteed for The Social Network for Best Picture, Colin Firth (The King's Speech) for Best Actor, Natalie Portman (Black Swan) for Best Actress and Christian Bale (The Fighter) for Best Supporting Actor. There are always surprises in the nominations, like The Blind Side as a Best Picture nominee last year. I kind of expect to see Alice in Wonderland fare better than expected, since it was the second highest grossing film of 2010. But if it's not going to be this year's Blind Side, then what?
Sure bets: Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The King's Speech, The Social Network, Toy Story 3, True Grit.
More iffy: 127 Hours, The Kids Are All Right, The Town, Winter's Bone
Dark horses: Alice in Wonderland?
Sure bets: Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network; Colin Firth, The King's Speech; James Franco, 127 Hours
More iffy: Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine; Robert Duvall, Get Low
Dark horses: Javier Bardem, Biutiful, Paul Giamatti, Barney's Version
Sure bets: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right; Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole; Natalie Portman, Black Swan
More iffy: Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone; Lesley Manville, Another Year
Dark horses: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit; Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs, Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine. Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right; Halle Berry, Frankie and Alice, Emma Stone, Easy A
Best Supporting Actor
Sure bets: Christian Bale, The Fighter; Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech.
More iffy: Andrew Garfield, The Social Network; Jeremy Renner, The Town; Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right; Michael Douglas, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps
Dark Horses: Justin Timberlake, The Social Network; Armie Hammer, The Social Network; John Hawkes, Winter's Bone; Matt Damon, True Grit; Sam Rockwell, Conviction; anyone from Inception
Best Supporting Actress
Sure bets: Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech; Melissa Leo, The Fighter
More iffy: Mila Kunis, Black Swan; Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit; Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom, Amy Adams, The Fighter
Dark Horses: Barbara Hershey, Black Swan; Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right; Chloe Moretz, Let Me In or Kick-Ass
Sure bets: Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan; David Fincher, The Social Network;
More iffy: The Coen Brothers, True Grit; Tom Hooper, The King's Speech; Christopher Nolan, Inception; David O. Russell, The Fighter
Dark horses: Martin Scorsese, Shutter Island; Roman Polanski, The Ghost Writer, Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
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